Causal relationship between construction investment policy and economic growth in Turkey


ÖZKAN Ö. , Gündüz M., Özkan F.

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, cilt.79, ss.362-370, 2012 (SSCI İndekslerine Giren Dergi) identifier

  • Cilt numarası: 79 Konu: 2
  • Basım Tarihi: 2012
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.04.007
  • Dergi Adı: TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
  • Sayfa Sayısı: ss.362-370

Özet

The construction industry in countries experiencing severe economic crisis has vital importance to get out of stagnation because of its direct relations with 200 different sectors. In this study, the relationship between the construction growth data (infrastructure, building and residential (public), building and residential (private) investment) and gross domestic product (GDP) is examined for Turkey. To this end, Engle-Granger cointegration, error correction model (ECM) and Granger causality tests were applied in order to determine the aforementioned relation. It has been found that the infrastructure and building-residential investments have direct relations with the GDP and have causality effects. (C) 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.